Análisis CD El Nacional vs Macará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.89
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 nov. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 1
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
QUI
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2008 |
CUE
1 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2008 |
LDU
3 - 1
NAC
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 0
BSC
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 nov. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 1
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2008 |
CUE
2 - 2
MAC
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 1
BSC
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2008 |
QUI
2 - 0
MAC
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 oct. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 1
LDU
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |