Análisis CD El Nacional vs Macará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 jul. 2009 |
EME
2 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 3
LDU
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 jun. 2009 |
LDU
2 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 2009 |
CUE
1 - 0
NAC
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 may. 2009 |
NAC
4 - 1
TEC
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 jul. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 0
CUE
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 2009 |
TEC
2 - 0
MAC
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 jun. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
BSC
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 jun. 2009 |
OLM
3 - 3
MAC
44%
30%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 0
MAN
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |