Análisis CD El Nacional vs Macará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 mar. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 3
CUE
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2010 |
ESP
5 - 3
NAC
43%
28%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 feb. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 2
UCE
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 feb. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
LDU
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 3
NAC
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 mar. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 3
OLM
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2010 |
UCE
2 - 3
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2010 |
BSC
0 - 0
MAC
49%
28%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 feb. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 2
CUE
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 feb. 2010 |
BSC
2 - 0
MAC
48%
28%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |