Análisis CD El Nacional vs Espoli
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.29
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.2%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.59
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 sep. 2005 |
ESP
1 - 3
NAC
19%
24%
57%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 1
OLM
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2005 |
LDU
2 - 1
NAC
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 0
CUE
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2005 |
LDU
1 - 2
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 sep. 2005 |
ESP
1 - 3
NAC
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2005 |
QUI
2 - 0
ESP
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 sep. 2005 |
ESP
1 - 0
LOJ
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 ago. 2005 |
OLM
2 - 2
ESP
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 ago. 2005 |
ESP
2 - 1
BSC
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +1 |