Análisis CD El Nacional vs Dep. Quito
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
49.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
23.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 0
NAC
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
ESP
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 ago. 2010 |
UCE
0 - 1
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 ago. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 jul. 2010 |
OLM
1 - 1
NAC
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 1
LIG
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 2
QUI
48%
28%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 ago. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 1
QUI
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 0
MAC
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2010 |
QUI
3 - 2
SAM
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |