Análisis CD El Nacional vs Liga de Quito
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
49.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
29.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.48
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 mar. 1975 |
NAC
5 - 1
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 1975 |
NAC
0 - 0
GAL
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 1975 |
LIG
3 - 1
NAC
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 mar. 1974 |
DEF
2 - 1
NAC
25%
22%
53%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 1974 |
SPC
1 - 3
NAC
52%
22%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 1975 |
LIG
1 - 1
POR
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 1975 |
LIG
4 - 2
GAL
80%
12%
8%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 1975 |
LIG
3 - 1
NAC
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1970 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
LIG
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 1970 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIG
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |