Análisis CD El Nacional vs Manta
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
57.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ago. 2014 |
CUE
2 - 1
NAC
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
LOJ
45%
26%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 jul. 2014 |
OLM
1 - 1
NAC
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 jul. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIG
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 jul. 2014 |
UCE
1 - 3
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ago. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 3
IVT
26%
26%
49%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 2014 |
LIG
0 - 2
MAN
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 jul. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 3
BSC
35%
30%
35%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2014 |
MUS
2 - 1
MAN
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 jul. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 1
QUI
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |