Análisis CD Fortuna vs Aviación
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 may. 2009 |
ARG
2 - 1
CDF
62%
21%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 may. 2009 |
CDF
3 - 1
VLL
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 may. 2009 |
CDF
5 - 1
ARY
32%
25%
43%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
COL
4 - 1
CDF
66%
20%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
CDF
0 - 1
ALC
37%
26%
38%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Aviación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 may. 2009 |
AVC
0 - 1
ARY
33%
25%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 may. 2009 |
COL
3 - 2
AVC
69%
19%
13%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 may. 2009 |
AVC
1 - 1
ALC
33%
26%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
GRI
1 - 2
AVC
56%
23%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
AVC
0 - 1
VAL
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |