Análisis CD Guadalajara vs Alcorcón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
23.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
28.1%
Empate
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
48.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 mar. 2012 |
SAB
2 - 2
GUA
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2012 |
HER
5 - 0
GUA
81%
14%
5%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
DEP
16%
27%
57%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
VIL
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 mar. 2012 |
REC
1 - 2
ALC
44%
29%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2012 |
FCB
3 - 2
ALC
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
HER
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 1
ALC
65%
22%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAR
68%
20%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |