Análisis CD Guadalajara vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2009 |
PUE
0 - 1
GUA
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 0
AGD
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 mar. 2009 |
CDL
0 - 3
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
MEL
36%
29%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 mar. 2009 |
SFE
0 - 1
GUA
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 2
BAL
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
LUC
57%
27%
17%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 2
POL
13%
24%
63%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | +1 |
| 21 mar. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
LUC
62%
23%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 mar. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 2
CAD
11%
21%
67%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |