Análisis CD Málaga vs Celta
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
35.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.81
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 sep. 1949 |
VAD
3 - 3
MAL
56%
21%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 1949 |
ATM
3 - 2
MAL
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 sep. 1949 |
MAL
1 - 2
VCF
40%
23%
37%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 1949 |
RCF
1 - 5
MAL
51%
23%
27%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1949 |
MAL
1 - 0
HER
62%
18%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 sep. 1949 |
CEL
2 - 0
ATM
54%
20%
26%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 1949 |
VCF
1 - 2
CEL
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1949 |
CEL
3 - 1
OVI
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 abr. 1949 |
CEL
1 - 0
ESP
71%
15%
14%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1949 |
ESP
3 - 1
CEL
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |