Análisis CD Málaga vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.69
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
17.5%
Empate
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.5%
20.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.56
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 1949 |
VAL
0 - 1
MAL
53%
21%
26%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 1949 |
SEV
5 - 2
MAL
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 mar. 1949 |
MAL
3 - 0
SPO
61%
18%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 feb. 1949 |
RAC
2 - 2
MAL
53%
21%
25%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 1949 |
MAL
5 - 0
GRA
64%
18%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 1949 |
HER
0 - 1
RCF
67%
17%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 1949 |
GRA
2 - 1
HER
51%
20%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 mar. 1949 |
HER
4 - 1
VAL
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 feb. 1949 |
SPO
3 - 2
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 feb. 1949 |
HER
4 - 1
RAC
73%
15%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |