Análisis CD Málaga vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 1961 |
LEV
2 - 0
MAL
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1961 |
UDL
2 - 0
MAL
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 1961 |
MAL
4 - 1
REC
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 sep. 1961 |
CAD
2 - 1
MAL
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 1961 |
MAL
0 - 0
ALB
75%
15%
10%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 1961 |
HER
1 - 0
REC
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1961 |
CAD
1 - 2
HER
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 1961 |
HER
2 - 0
ALB
80%
12%
8%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 sep. 1961 |
GRA
5 - 1
HER
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 1961 |
HER
1 - 3
CCF
64%
20%
17%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |