Análisis CD Málaga vs Rayo Vallecano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.2%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
12.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 sep. 1985 |
REC
3 - 0
MAL
37%
31%
32%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1985 |
MAL
0 - 1
ATH
37%
31%
32%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 may. 1985 |
ATH
3 - 2
MAL
81%
14%
6%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1985 |
MAL
1 - 1
BET
46%
28%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 1985 |
OSA
2 - 2
MAL
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 sep. 1985 |
RAY
2 - 1
FCB
55%
26%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 may. 1985 |
RAY
1 - 0
ALC
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1985 |
HOS
0 - 0
RAY
41%
29%
31%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1985 |
RAY
0 - 1
XER
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 1985 |
LIN
0 - 2
RAY
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |