Análisis CD Miraflor vs Aviación
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.34
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.6%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Miraflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2015 |
CDM
2 - 2
CAN
41%
23%
36%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2015 |
OLA
2 - 2
CDM
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2015 |
CDM
4 - 1
ARY
36%
23%
42%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 mar. 2015 |
RBR
4 - 2
CDM
48%
22%
29%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 mar. 2015 |
CDM
1 - 2
VDO
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Aviación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2015 |
AVC
0 - 2
AVA
12%
17%
71%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2015 |
CAN
3 - 0
AVC
60%
20%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 mar. 2015 |
AVC
0 - 2
EFM
17%
21%
62%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2015 |
OLA
1 - 2
AVC
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 mar. 2015 |
AVC
0 - 2
LAA
23%
22%
55%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |