Análisis Monte Carlo vs Must IPO
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.3
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
1.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
36.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.09
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
5%
3-4
2%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-38%
+97%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 2023 |
MCA
5 - 0
SMA
86%
9%
5%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2023 |
CHF
0 - 1
MCA
42%
21%
37%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2023 |
MCA
11 - 0
HSA
81%
12%
8%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2023 |
LUL
0 - 7
MCA
18%
17%
66%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 2
MCA
50%
19%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Must IPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 7
CPK
7%
11%
82%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2023 |
CPK
4 - 0
CHF
65%
17%
18%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2023 |
HSA
0 - 6
CPK
12%
14%
74%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2023 |
CPK
4 - 0
LUL
87%
8%
5%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2023 |
TCK
0 - 3
CPK
19%
16%
65%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |