Análisis Monte Carlo vs CSL Benfica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.39
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.1%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
22.1%
Win probability
1.43
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+53%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 2017 |
MCA
5 - 0
MAC
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2017 |
KLM
2 - 2
MCA
53%
19%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2017 |
MCA
0 - 1
CPK
63%
17%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2017 |
SMA
0 - 5
MCA
44%
22%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2017 |
WAK
0 - 3
MCA
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 2017 |
BEN
4 - 1
WAK
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 4
BEN
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2017 |
BEN
7 - 0
LAI
62%
18%
20%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2017 |
CHF
1 - 1
BEN
47%
21%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2017 |
BEN
3 - 0
PSP
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |