Análisis Monte Carlo vs Kei Lun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.68
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
17.9%
Empate
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
17.9%
23.1%
Win probability
1.68
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 2017 |
CPK
0 - 2
MCA
51%
20%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 2017 |
MCA
4 - 1
SMA
62%
18%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2017 |
MCA
5 - 2
WAK
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 4
MCA
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 jun. 2016 |
MCA
2 - 7
WAK
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Kei Lun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 2017 |
KLM
3 - 1
WAK
54%
19%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 5
KLM
43%
21%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2017 |
KLM
5 - 0
LAI
58%
19%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2017 |
CHF
3 - 3
KLM
51%
20%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 jun. 2016 |
KLM
3 - 6
CPO
57%
19%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |