Análisis Monte Carlo vs Lai Chi
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.18
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.4%
13.7%
Empate
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.7%
12.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.33
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 feb. 2018 |
WAK
2 - 0
MCA
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2018 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
64%
17%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2018 |
PSP
1 - 2
MCA
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2018 |
MCA
0 - 1
HSA
62%
17%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 jul. 2017 |
LAI
1 - 9
MCA
44%
21%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Lai Chi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 feb. 2018 |
LAI
0 - 3
ALF
59%
19%
21%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2018 |
CHF
6 - 1
LAI
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 2018 |
LAI
0 - 5
BEN
37%
20%
42%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 ene. 2018 |
CPK
12 - 0
LAI
58%
19%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 jul. 2017 |
LAI
1 - 9
MCA
44%
21%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |