Análisis Monte Carlo vs Sporting Macau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.56
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.5%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
17.1%
Win probability
1.27
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-38%
-119%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 mar. 2019 |
MCA
1 - 3
WAK
47%
21%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 3
MCA
25%
20%
55%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 feb. 2019 |
MCA
4 - 0
CDT
71%
15%
14%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 0
MCA
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 ene. 2019 |
CHF
0 - 3
MCA
31%
20%
50%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 2019 |
SMA
4 - 0
PSP
90%
8%
2%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2019 |
WAK
2 - 1
SMA
58%
20%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 feb. 2019 |
SMA
0 - 2
CHF
63%
18%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 feb. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 2
SMA
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 feb. 2019 |
CDT
0 - 2
SMA
45%
21%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |