Análisis Monte Carlo vs Tak Chun Ka I
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
3.25
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.4%
Empate
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-40%
-96%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 sep. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 4
MCA
56%
19%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2022 |
MCA
9 - 0
BMA
75%
14%
11%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 jun. 2022 |
TCK
0 - 9
MCA
24%
19%
57%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 may. 2022 |
MCA
0 - 3
CPK
43%
20%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 may. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 7
MCA
21%
20%
60%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Tak Chun Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 sep. 2022 |
CHF
6 - 2
TCK
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 jun. 2022 |
LUL
1 - 1
TCK
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 jun. 2022 |
CPO
0 - 6
TCK
28%
20%
51%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 jun. 2022 |
TCK
0 - 9
MCA
24%
19%
57%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 may. 2022 |
BMA
3 - 0
TCK
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |