Análisis Monte Carlo vs Tak Chun Ka I
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.65
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
8.1%
Empate
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.1%
4.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-23%
-86%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 mar. 2024 |
CHF
3 - 1
MCA
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2024 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
89%
8%
4%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2024 |
LUL
3 - 1
MCA
15%
17%
68%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 mar. 2024 |
MCA
1 - 0
HSA
85%
10%
6%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
MCA
25%
19%
56%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Tak Chun Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 mar. 2024 |
TCK
1 - 3
HSA
34%
21%
46%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2024 |
CPK
7 - 0
TCK
92%
6%
3%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2024 |
TCK
0 - 6
FJH
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 mar. 2024 |
TCK
2 - 6
UNI
29%
22%
49%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 feb. 2024 |
BEN
8 - 0
TCK
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |