Análisis Monte Carlo vs Tak Chun Ka I
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
89.4%
Win probability
3.76
Goles esperados
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
7%
Empate
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7%
3.4%
Win probability
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-39%
-94%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 jun. 2024 |
MCA
1 - 2
UNI
68%
16%
16%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 2024 |
FJH
1 - 1
MCA
11%
14%
75%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 may. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 1
MCA
8%
13%
79%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2024 |
MCA
2 - 0
TCK
87%
8%
5%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2024 |
CPK
3 - 0
MCA
67%
16%
17%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Tak Chun Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 jun. 2024 |
SMA
4 - 1
TCK
65%
17%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 2024 |
TCK
0 - 5
UNI
16%
18%
66%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2024 |
TCK
1 - 9
FJH
55%
20%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 may. 2024 |
MCA
2 - 0
TCK
87%
8%
5%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2024 |
TCK
1 - 2
CHF
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | -1 |