Análisis Monte Carlo vs Windsor Arch Ka I
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
2.34
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19.7%
Empate
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
26.2%
Win probability
1.61
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 2014 |
MCA
1 - 1
BEN
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2014 |
MCA
4 - 0
PSP
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 abr. 2014 |
MCA
2 - 5
SMA
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 abr. 2014 |
CPK
0 - 1
MCA
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2014 |
MCA
2 - 0
LAI
70%
16%
14%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 2014 |
LAI
3 - 4
WAK
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
WAK
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2014 |
WAK
1 - 1
PSP
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2014 |
WAK
4 - 1
KLM
77%
13%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2014 |
WAK
1 - 1
SMA
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |