Análisis Monte Carlo vs Windsor Arch Ka I
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.77
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
17.1%
Empate
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.1%
20.1%
Win probability
1.57
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 oct. 2020 |
CPO
4 - 4
MCA
37%
20%
43%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2020 |
MCA
1 - 4
CHF
62%
19%
19%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 sep. 2020 |
MCA
1 - 3
HSA
83%
10%
7%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 2020 |
CPK
3 - 0
MCA
67%
17%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 jul. 2019 |
HSA
1 - 3
MCA
16%
19%
65%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 2020 |
WAK
3 - 1
LUL
57%
19%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2020 |
SMA
1 - 1
WAK
54%
20%
27%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2020 |
WAK
1 - 1
CPO
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2020 |
BEN
4 - 0
WAK
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 jul. 2019 |
CHF
1 - 2
WAK
60%
18%
23%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |