Análisis FC Motagua vs Honduras Progreso
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 2016 |
VID
0 - 1
MOT
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2016 |
MOT
1 - 1
RES
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2016 |
PLA
4 - 2
MOT
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 sep. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 1
MOT
52%
25%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2016 |
MOT
1 - 0
SOC
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Partidos
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
HNP
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 0
VID
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2016 |
HNP
2 - 1
PUM
20%
22%
59%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 sep. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 2
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2016 |
RES
4 - 1
HNP
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |