Análisis Paguera vs Platges de Calvià
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Paguera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ene. 2003 |
ATB
1 - 1
PAG
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2003 |
UDA
1 - 2
PAG
30%
26%
44%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 2003 |
PAG
3 - 1
BNS
48%
25%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 dic. 2002 |
ALA
2 - 0
PAG
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 dic. 2002 |
PAG
2 - 4
CDC
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
Partidos
Platges de Calvià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ene. 2003 |
CFP
2 - 1
MNU
40%
26%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2003 |
CFP
0 - 2
CON
18%
25%
57%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -2 |
| 05 ene. 2003 |
FER
2 - 1
CFP
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2002 |
ATB
1 - 0
CFP
65%
21%
14%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 dic. 2002 |
CFP
6 - 0
UDA
48%
27%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +2 |