Análisis La Serena vs Palestino
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
62.7%
Probabilidad gana
2.1
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17%
Probabilidad gana
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+23%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 0
DLS
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2009 |
DLS
3 - 0
NUB
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 mar. 2009 |
COB
1 - 1
DLS
58%
22%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2009 |
DLS
3 - 1
HUA
47%
24%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 feb. 2009 |
CUR
1 - 1
DLS
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2009 |
SAN
5 - 1
PAL
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2009 |
PAL
4 - 2
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2009 |
PAL
0 - 4
CUR
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 feb. 2009 |
COB
4 - 0
PAL
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |