Primera Chile - Clausura Playoffs Semifinal
Análisis La Serena vs U. Católica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
37.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.39
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.39
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 dic. 2005 |
COL
3 - 3
DLS
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2005 |
DLS
1 - 1
COL
31%
23%
46%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2005 |
UCO
3 - 0
DLS
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 2005 |
SWA
0 - 0
DLS
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 2005 |
DLS
2 - 3
UCH
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 dic. 2005 |
UCO
2 - 1
COB
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2005 |
UCO
0 - 1
BOC
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 nov. 2005 |
COB
1 - 1
UCO
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 2
UCO
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 nov. 2005 |
UCO
3 - 0
DLS
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |