Análisis CD Toledo vs RSD Alcalá
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+37%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 may. 1979 |
LPA
2 - 3
CDT
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 may. 1979 |
CDT
1 - 1
VDB
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 may. 1979 |
CAR
1 - 0
CDT
57%
24%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 may. 1979 |
CDT
2 - 0
SAL
72%
19%
9%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 1979 |
MAN
0 - 0
CDT
51%
27%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 may. 1979 |
ALC
2 - 0
CDS
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 may. 1979 |
ZAR
3 - 1
ALC
58%
24%
17%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 may. 1979 |
ALC
2 - 1
VAL
72%
19%
9%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 may. 1979 |
TCF
1 - 1
ALC
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 1979 |
ALC
0 - 0
COL
68%
21%
11%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |