Análisis CD Toledo vs Rayo Vallecano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
90.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
4.57
Goles esperados
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.3%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.9%
10-2
0.2%
+8
2.9%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
1.8%
9-2
0.5%
10-3
0.1%
+7
5.5%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
3.1%
8-2
0.9%
9-3
0.2%
10-4
<0%
+6
9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
4.8%
7-2
1.6%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
<0%
+5
13.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
6.3%
6-2
2.4%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
16.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
3.2%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.2%
5.5%
Empate
0-0
0.4%
1-1
1.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
5.5%
3.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+40%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 1954 |
EXT
0 - 0
CDT
80%
11%
9%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1954 |
CDT
3 - 2
AMI
72%
15%
13%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 feb. 1954 |
DBN
0 - 1
CDT
74%
14%
12%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 ene. 1954 |
CDT
2 - 0
GUA
61%
18%
22%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 ene. 1954 |
CDS
4 - 2
CDT
68%
16%
16%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 1954 |
RAY
3 - 1
ATC
59%
21%
21%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1954 |
ARA
2 - 0
RAY
85%
9%
6%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 1954 |
RAY
0 - 1
UDG
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 ene. 1954 |
PUE
4 - 1
RAY
89%
7%
4%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 ene. 1954 |
RAY
4 - 5
MER
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |