Tercera División G8 Jor. 10

Análisis CD Toledo vs UB Conquense

CD Toledo UB Conquense
42 ELO 28
10.9% Tilt 8.3%
5335º Ranking ELO general 5065º
188º Ranking ELO país 169º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
80.9%
CD Toledo
11.5%
Empate
7.6%
UB Conquense

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
CD Toledo
3.2
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.5%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
UB Conquense
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
CD Toledo
+50%
-18%
UB Conquense

Progresión del ELO

CD Toledo
UB Conquense
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

CD Toledo
CD Toledo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 nov. 1946
CDT
CD Toledo
5 - 0
Gimnástico de Alcázar
GIM
79%
12%
9%
41 30 11 0
27 oct. 1946
PUL
AD Plus Ultra
0 - 0
CD Toledo
CDT
67%
17%
16%
41 47 6 0
20 oct. 1946
CDT
CD Toledo
2 - 0
AD Ferroviaria
FER
59%
19%
22%
40 40 0 +1
13 oct. 1946
MAN
CD Manchego
2 - 3
CD Toledo
CDT
48%
21%
31%
39 34 5 +1
06 oct. 1946
CDT
CD Toledo
4 - 0
Tomelloso
TOM
63%
18%
19%
38 37 1 +1

Partidos

UB Conquense
UB Conquense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 nov. 1946
IMP
Imperio Madrid
0 - 1
UB Conquense
UBC
84%
10%
6%
28 41 13 0
27 oct. 1946
UBC
UB Conquense
0 - 0
Mediodía
MED
43%
22%
34%
27 37 10 +1
20 oct. 1946
ALB
Albacete
6 - 1
UB Conquense
UBC
83%
11%
6%
28 45 17 -1
13 oct. 1946
GIM
Gimnástico de Alcázar
3 - 2
UB Conquense
UBC
57%
20%
23%
28 28 0 0
06 oct. 1946
UBC
UB Conquense
2 - 3
AD Plus Ultra
PUL
33%
23%
45%
30 46 16 -2