Análisis Valdepeñas vs Alcorcón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.36
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-27%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 1978 |
CIE
2 - 1
CDB
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 1978 |
GUA
1 - 2
CDB
57%
26%
18%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 ene. 1978 |
CDB
2 - 0
TCF
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 ene. 1978 |
ZAM
3 - 0
CDB
63%
24%
13%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 ene. 1978 |
CDB
0 - 1
ALB
46%
29%
25%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 1978 |
ALC
1 - 0
TCF
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 1978 |
ZAM
6 - 0
ALC
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 ene. 1978 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALB
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 ene. 1978 |
PLA
2 - 2
ALC
45%
23%
31%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 1978 |
ALC
0 - 2
ARG
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |