Análisis Valdepeñas vs Alcorcón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.57
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.4%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.57
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-23%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 1986 |
MAN
1 - 2
CDB
53%
25%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1986 |
CDB
0 - 4
ADP
38%
31%
31%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 sep. 1986 |
MAR
3 - 1
CDB
14%
27%
59%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | -3 |
| 21 sep. 1986 |
CDB
1 - 0
VAL
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 sep. 1986 |
CDB
2 - 3
RMC
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 1986 |
ALC
2 - 1
ROD
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1986 |
ALC
1 - 4
LEG
39%
27%
34%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 sep. 1986 |
MAN
2 - 1
ALC
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 sep. 1986 |
ALC
1 - 3
ADP
33%
33%
34%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 sep. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 1
ALC
14%
25%
61%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | -1 |