Análisis Valdepeñas vs RSD Alcalá
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.95
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
35.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-40%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 1949 |
TAL
1 - 0
CDB
90%
7%
4%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 1949 |
CDB
2 - 0
GUA
49%
21%
31%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 oct. 1949 |
RAY
5 - 1
CDB
90%
7%
4%
|
25 | 66 | 41 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1949 |
CDB
0 - 1
ALI
50%
21%
30%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 oct. 1949 |
TOM
3 - 1
CDB
88%
8%
4%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 1949 |
GUA
4 - 1
ALC
52%
20%
28%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 1949 |
ALC
4 - 1
ALI
77%
13%
10%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 oct. 1949 |
IMP
2 - 2
ALC
73%
14%
13%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1949 |
ALC
6 - 3
ELD
71%
15%
14%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 oct. 1949 |
CDT
4 - 4
ALC
76%
13%
11%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |