Análisis Valdepeñas vs Carolinense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.27
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-19%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 1979 |
UBE
2 - 0
CDB
53%
26%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 1979 |
CDB
1 - 0
SFE
46%
31%
24%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 dic. 1978 |
CDB
6 - 0
JER
57%
25%
18%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 dic. 1978 |
ARC
2 - 1
CDB
62%
23%
15%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 1978 |
CDB
1 - 1
BET
62%
24%
14%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 1979 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARC
33%
28%
39%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 1979 |
BET
1 - 0
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 dic. 1978 |
CAR
2 - 2
IME
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 1978 |
DBN
4 - 2
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 dic. 1978 |
CAR
0 - 3
EXT
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |