Análisis CDC Comercial vs Aviación
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.61
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.8%
Empate
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
9.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CDC Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 2014 |
IBT
0 - 4
COM
36%
24%
41%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2014 |
COM
1 - 3
TVA
51%
22%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 sep. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
COM
33%
23%
43%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Aviación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 2014 |
AVC
1 - 2
RBR
46%
23%
31%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2014 |
IBT
1 - 0
AVC
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 sep. 2014 |
AVC
0 - 0
VDO
29%
23%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 2009 |
CDF
2 - 1
AVC
55%
23%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -9 |
| 31 may. 2009 |
AVC
0 - 1
ARY
33%
25%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |