Análisis CDR Guará vs Vila Nova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
17.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.85
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.76
Goles esperados
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CDR Guará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 jul. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 2
GRE
20%
25%
56%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 jul. 2007 |
ITU
2 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 2007 |
PAR
4 - 1
GUA
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
LUZ
0 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2007 |
GUA
4 - 2
PAR
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
Partidos
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 jul. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 0
ITU
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 jul. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 1
VIL
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 1
GOI
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 abr. 2007 |
GOI
2 - 1
VIL
77%
15%
9%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2007 |
VIL
4 - 1
ITU
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |