Etapas Finales Apertura MX Final
Global 4-6
Análisis Cruz Azul vs Monterrey
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
56.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+21%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 2009 |
MON
4 - 3
CAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 1
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 dic. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
CAZ
45%
26%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2009 |
CAZ
3 - 2
PUE
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2009 |
PUE
4 - 4
CAZ
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 2009 |
MON
4 - 3
CAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2009 |
AME
1 - 1
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |