Análisis Cruz Azul vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.11
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 3
CAZ
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 2
QRO
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
CAZ
18%
25%
57%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
CAZ
3 - 1
SNL
64%
22%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
CAZ
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 abr. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 1
NAC
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 3
COR
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 2
RÑU
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
IND
2 - 5
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 mar. 2012 |
TAC
0 - 0
NAC
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |