Análisis Cruz Azul vs Toluca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.16
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.8%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+24%
+27%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2002 |
NEC
1 - 1
CAZ
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2002 |
CAZ
3 - 1
LEO
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2002 |
PUM
0 - 0
CAZ
37%
24%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 2
CAZ
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2002 |
CAZ
1 - 5
REB
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 2002 |
TOL
3 - 1
REB
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2002 |
TOL
5 - 1
ATS
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 mar. 2002 |
AUR
2 - 1
TOL
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 mar. 2002 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIG
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 mar. 2002 |
PAC
1 - 2
TOL
54%
22%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |