Liga MX - Apertura Jor. 13

Análisis Cruz Azul vs Toluca

Cruz Azul Toluca
83 ELO 83
1.9% Tilt 2.9%
313º Ranking ELO general 327º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
57.1%
Cruz Azul
21.4%
Empate
21.6%
Toluca

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
Cruz Azul
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Toluca
1.17
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Cruz Azul
+27%
+29%
Toluca

Progresión del ELO

Cruz Azul
Toluca
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 oct. 2002
MON
Monterrey
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
34%
24%
42%
83 76 7 0
05 oct. 2002
CAZ
Cruz Azul
5 - 1
Atl. San Luis
AUR
73%
17%
10%
83 72 11 0
29 sep. 2002
PUM
Pumas UNAM
2 - 2
Cruz Azul
CAZ
46%
23%
31%
83 80 3 0
21 sep. 2002
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 3
CA Morelia
MOR
60%
20%
20%
83 81 2 0
15 sep. 2002
ATL
Atlante FC
2 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
30%
26%
44%
84 73 11 -1

Partidos

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 oct. 2002
TOL
Toluca
5 - 1
Jaguares FC
JAG
71%
18%
11%
83 74 9 0
06 oct. 2002
AME
América
1 - 2
Toluca
TOL
57%
22%
21%
83 84 1 0
28 sep. 2002
TOL
Toluca
5 - 0
Puebla
PUE
71%
18%
11%
82 72 10 +1
22 sep. 2002
QRO
Querétaro
0 - 2
Toluca
TOL
34%
27%
39%
82 73 9 0
14 sep. 2002
TOL
Toluca
1 - 0
Atlas FC
ATS
62%
19%
18%
82 78 4 0