Análisis Cruz Azul vs Toluca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+23%
+24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ago. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
CAZ
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2021 |
NEC
1 - 2
CAZ
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 ago. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAZ
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2021 |
CAZ
0 - 2
MAZ
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 2
CAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 ago. 2021 |
TIJ
0 - 2
TOL
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 ago. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIG
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 jul. 2021 |
JUA
1 - 3
TOL
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 jul. 2021 |
TOL
5 - 3
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 jul. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUA
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |