Análisis Ceará vs Barras
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.57
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.4%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 feb. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 2
CEA
26%
23%
51%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEA
25%
23%
52%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 feb. 2007 |
CEA
3 - 2
ITA
81%
13%
7%
|
64 | 23 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2007 |
FOR
3 - 4
CEA
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 feb. 2007 |
FER
1 - 2
CEA
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEA
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAR
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 0
BAR
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 nov. 2006 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAI
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |