Análisis Ceará vs Caxias do Sul
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2003 |
AVA
1 - 0
CEA
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 0
CEA
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 mar. 2003 |
CEA
1 - 0
FLA
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2003 |
CEA
2 - 0
CON
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 feb. 2003 |
CON
1 - 0
CEA
32%
26%
43%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Partidos
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2003 |
CAX
1 - 1
GAM
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 2002 |
CAX
4 - 0
XVD
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2002 |
AVA
0 - 0
CAX
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 2002 |
CAX
4 - 1
JEC
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 oct. 2002 |
CAX
0 - 2
CEA
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |