Análisis Ceará vs Duque de Caxias
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.9
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.1%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 oct. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
CEA
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 1
BRA
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 3
CEA
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 0
FOR
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 3
CEA
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 oct. 2009 |
DUQ
2 - 1
SAO
30%
27%
42%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
DUQ
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2009 |
DUQ
3 - 1
IFC
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 oct. 2009 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BRA
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 sep. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 2
DUQ
70%
18%
11%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |