Análisis Ceará vs Itapaje
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.72
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.8%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 feb. 2007 |
FOR
3 - 4
CEA
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2007 |
FER
1 - 2
CEA
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2007 |
ITA
1 - 0
CEA
20%
22%
59%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 ene. 2007 |
QUI
2 - 0
CEA
22%
22%
56%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2007 |
ICA
3 - 0
CEA
23%
22%
55%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -2 |
Partidos
Itapaje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 feb. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 1
ITA
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2007 |
ITA
1 - 3
FOR
12%
20%
68%
|
23 | 74 | 51 | -1 |
| 31 ene. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 2
MAR
22%
23%
55%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | +2 |
| 28 ene. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 1
ITA
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2007 |
ITA
1 - 3
ITA
12%
18%
71%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | -1 |