Análisis Ceará vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
24.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 oct. 1972 |
CEA
1 - 1
AME
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 1972 |
CEA
1 - 4
POR
51%
27%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 oct. 1972 |
CEA
1 - 0
ABC
60%
23%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1972 |
REM
1 - 1
CEA
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1972 |
CEA
1 - 0
NAC
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 oct. 1972 |
NAU
1 - 1
GRE
34%
24%
42%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1972 |
NAU
3 - 0
ATM
31%
24%
45%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 oct. 1972 |
NAU
0 - 0
BAH
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1972 |
VIT
0 - 1
NAU
58%
23%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1972 |
NAU
3 - 0
SER
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |