Análisis Ceará vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.45
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+32%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 sep. 2006 |
PAU
4 - 0
CEA
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
CEA
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2006 |
CEA
1 - 1
REM
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2006 |
CEA
2 - 1
BRA
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 sep. 2006 |
PAY
1 - 2
CEA
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 0
NAU
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2006 |
NAU
4 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 sep. 2006 |
PAY
1 - 0
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2006 |
NAU
3 - 0
ATM
37%
26%
38%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 sep. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 0
NAU
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |