Análisis Ceilandense vs Brasiliense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
16.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.96
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
63.6%
Probabilidad gana
2.1
Goles esperados
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-31%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 mar. 2012 |
SOB
3 - 1
CEI
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2012 |
CEI
0 - 5
CEI
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 04 mar. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 1
LEG
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2012 |
LUZ
3 - 2
CEI
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 feb. 2012 |
CEI
3 - 3
BDF
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 0
BRA
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
CEI
72%
19%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 mar. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
GUA
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 mar. 2012 |
GAM
3 - 2
BRA
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 feb. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 0
CAP
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |